Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000090 0.000100 0.000110 0.000122 0.000135 0.000149 0.000165
2026-01-25 0.000075 0.000088 0.000103 0.000120 0.000141 0.000165 0.000195
2026-02-01 0.000065 0.000080 0.000098 0.000120 0.000148 0.000182 0.000226
2026-02-08 0.000056 0.000072 0.000092 0.000118 0.000153 0.000196 0.000255
2026-02-15 0.000050 0.000066 0.000088 0.000118 0.000158 0.000211 0.000286
2026-02-22 0.000045 0.000062 0.000085 0.000118 0.000164 0.000227 0.000320
2026-03-01 0.000040 0.000058 0.000081 0.000116 0.000168 0.000240 0.000351
2026-03-08 0.000037 0.000055 0.000080 0.000118 0.000175 0.000258 0.000391
2026-03-15 0.000035 0.000052 0.000078 0.000118 0.000180 0.000274 0.000428
2026-03-22 0.000032 0.000049 0.000075 0.000117 0.000184 0.000288 0.000463
2026-03-29 0.000030 0.000048 0.000075 0.000119 0.000192 0.000308 0.000510
2026-04-05 0.000028 0.000046 0.000073 0.000119 0.000197 0.000324 0.000551
2026-04-12 0.000026 0.000043 0.000071 0.000119 0.000201 0.000340 0.000593
2026-04-19 0.000024 0.000041 0.000069 0.000118 0.000205 0.000354 0.000636
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000040 0.000067 0.000118 0.000210 0.000371 0.000684
2026-05-03 0.000021 0.000037 0.000065 0.000117 0.000212 0.000384 0.000724
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000036 0.000063 0.000116 0.000215 0.000398 0.000771
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000034 0.000062 0.000116 0.000220 0.000416 0.000825
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000115 0.000222 0.000429 0.000869
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000032 0.000060 0.000116 0.000229 0.000452 0.000937
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000031 0.000059 0.000116 0.000234 0.000471 0.000999
2026-06-14 0.000015 0.000030 0.000057 0.000116 0.000237 0.000486 0.001053
2026-06-21 0.000015 0.000029 0.000057 0.000117 0.000246 0.000514 0.001137